The world was on the verge of a big war that if happened, its repercussions were going to be felt in the entire world.
So the United States after the order of President Trump assassinated Iran’s top general and the leader of Al-Quds force in the Iranian revolutionary guard, Qassem Soleimani, while he was on a declared diplomatic mission in Iraq.
I was sure that Soleimani’s assassination will lead to an Iranian retaliation, but I wasn’t sure of the scale of Tehran’s response. However, Iran’s bombing of two US bases in Iraq and the nature of these attacks indicate that Iran doesn’t want a major war with the US and this is a rational decision by Tehran because who wants to engage in an act of war with a lunatic side sitting over thousands of nuclear weapons.
In my opinion, the direct Iranian retaliation was more about preserving its dignity than a military action with tangible political consequences. But will be Iran satisfied with this? The simple answer is NO.
The assassination of Soleimani is a strategic blow for Iran and the retaliation should have strategic impact. The bombing of the US bases in Iraq doesn’t have this impact. So what will Iran do?
If we follow the statements of the Iranian leaders and the allies, particularly the leader of the Lebanese Hizbollah, Hassan Nasrallah, the response to the latest US escalation will be: doubling the effort to expel US troops from the region. Is this goal realistic? I say partially. I believe Iran and its allies in the region are able to launch a war of attrition against the US forces, particularly through IEDs and explosives that could kill tens of US soldiers in the future, which is something the US and especially Donald Trump cannot tolerate. But this kind of warfare will be limited until the upcoming elections in the US and the behaviour of the new administration towards Iran.
Please keep in mind that this recent escalation started by the US; Donald Trump unilaterally withdrew from Iran’s nuclear deal, imposed unprecedented sanctions against Tehran and finally assassinated its top general who had led Iranian backed forces in Syria and Iraq against ISIS and crushed the terrorist organization in several cities and towns. In fact, Soleimani’s war against ISIS was more effective than the so-called US-led coalition against Daesh.
Last but not least, I am very disgusted by the comments of some so-called anti-establishment/right wing activists, praising the assassination of Qasem Soleimani, such as Paul Joseph Watson. Those who claim to be pro-sovereignty and pro-Christianity are doing exactly the opposite of what they preach; they antagonize the forces who fought the ISIS Frankenstein in the Middle East, particularly the forces supported by Iran and Syria, and praise the forces who supported ISIS and Al-Qaeda, particularly the US and Israel. Let me tell you something if you really care about Christianity; while the US and Israel supported the Islamist terrorists in Syria who slaughtered the Christians of Syria and Iraq, the Iranian backed forces and the Syrian Army fought side by side to crush the Islamist terrorists. While the US supplied arms and ammunition to the Islamists in my city, Soleimani commanded forces allied with the Syrian Army to kick out Al-Qaeda from Aleppo. While the US and Israel supported the Islamists in Syria and created the refugee crisis in Europe, which ISIS and Al-Qaeda penetrated the ranks of the refugees and arrived in Europe, Assad and Soleimani fought the terrorists and killed thousands of them before they reach to Europe. The man that you are celebrating his death has done more good to Europe than your governments.